Match Info

COLOMBIA: PRIMERA B - APERTURA - ROUND 5

Date: 5 March 2023, Sunday


	Valledupar		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.95	2.45
	2.85	2.95	2.55
	2.7	3	2.48
	2.87	3.03	2.73
	2.75	2.8	2.55
	2.73	3.02	2.58
	2.8	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.81)	2.98 ↑ (2.93)	2.53 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valledupar
33.2%

Draw
30.7%

Llaneros SA
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.9%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

32.9%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Valledupar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valledupar than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Valledupar - Llaneros SA Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Valledupar has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Llaneros SA is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valledupar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Valledupar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Valledupar won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valledupar FC
Colombian Primera B
26.02.23	Real Cartagena - Valledupar	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
22.02.23	Jaguares de Córdoba - Valledupar	1:0 ✺
14.02.23	Valledupar - Jaguares de Córdoba	0:2 ✺
Colombian Primera B
11.02.23	Valledupar - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
04.02.23	Internacional de Palmira - Valledupar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLTL
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera B
25.02.23	Llaneros SA - Orsomarso	2:1 ✺
21.02.23	Leones - Llaneros SA	0:1 ✺
13.02.23	Llaneros SA - Internacional de Palmira	1:3 ✺
04.02.23	Patriotas - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.01.23	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
04.08.22	Valledupar - Llaneros SA	1:1
26.02.22	Llaneros SA - Valledupar	0:0
09.08.21	Llaneros SA - Valledupar	1:0
05.04.21	Llaneros SA - Valledupar	2:1

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