Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday


	Tigres UANL U21		Toluca U21

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.3	2.45
	2.47	3.45	2.52
	2.54	3.25	2.59	Watch
	2.4	3	2.45
	2.51	3.44	2.55
	2.43	3.35	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.48)	3.3 ↑ (3.13)	2.5 ↓ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres UANL U21
36.6%

Draw
27.3%

Toluca U21
36%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36%

28.6%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres UANL U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Toluca U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Tigres UANL U21 - Toluca U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(1 - 2)

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 17th and 1st in the Promotion - Liga MX U21 Apertura - Playoffs).

Toluca U21 is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Tigres UANL U21 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2.

Specifically in home fixtures for Tigres UANL U21 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
13	Tigres UANL U21	13	4	1	2	6	19:24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres UANL U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
26.09.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Puebla U21	1:1 ✺
18.09.26	Juárez U21 - Tigres UANL U21	2:1 penalties ✺
29.08.26	Santos Laguna U21 - Tigres UANL U21	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Atlas U21 - Tigres UANL U21	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Querétaro U21 - Tigres UANL U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
26.09.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Toluca U21	2:3 ✺
20.09.26	Toluca U21 - Santos Laguna U21	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Toluca U21 - Atlas U21	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Toluca U21 - Juárez U21	2:1 ✺
21.08.26	Querétaro U21 - Toluca U21	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
17.01.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Toluca U21	3:2 penalties

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