The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tigres de Álica 48.3%
Draw 26.1%
La Piedad 25.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44.7%
27.6%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.2%
27.9%
26.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres de Álica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
La Piedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres de Álica than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Piedad than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Tigres de Álica - La Piedad Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs and 2nd in the Promotion - Primera Premier Playoffs).
Tigres de Álica has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
La Piedad is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tigres de Álica holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Tigres de Álica has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:1 (averaging 2:0.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tigres de Álica against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:1 goals.