Match Info

Primera Premier - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Tigres de Álica		Tritones Vallarta

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.50	5.00
	1.58	3.51	4.79
	2.01	3.38	3.41	Watch
	1.55	3.40	4.65
	1.53	3.68	5.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.78)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	4.66 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigres de Álica
54.8%

Draw
25.8%

Tritones Vallarta
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

26.2%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigres de Álica has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Tritones Vallarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera Premier Playoffs and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres de Álica won 4.

Tritones Vallarta may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tigres de Álica has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.2:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tigres de Álica against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tigres de Álica FC
Mexican Primera Premier
18.09.26	Tigres de Álica - Lobos ULMX	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Irapuato - Tigres de Álica	2:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tigres de Álica - Zacatepec Siglo	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
18.04.26	Tigres de Álica - Halcones	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Halcones - Tigres de Álica	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLWWL
- Tritones Vallarta MFC
Mexican Primera Premier
19.09.26	Los Cabos United - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
11.09.26	Tritones Vallarta - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
28.08.26	Tritones Vallarta - La Piedad	0:1 ✺
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
25.04.26	Deportiva Venados - Tritones Vallarta	1:0 ✺
22.04.26	Tritones Vallarta - Deportiva Venados	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
21.03.26	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	1:0
08.11.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	1:2
12.04.25	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	2:1
01.03.25	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	2:1
30.11.24	Tritones Vallarta - Tigres de Álica	0:1
19.10.24	Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta	0:2

Tigres de Álica - Tritones Vallarta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide