Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Caliente (Tijuana) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Perez Comellas M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	19:06	FOX One, Tubi TV


	Tijuana		Atlante

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.33	5.75
	1.40	4.25	6.00
	1.39	4.80	7.71
	1.50	4.53	5.50	Watch
	1.36	4.75	7.60
	1.47	4.66	5.70
	1.41	4.50	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.38)	4.55 ↑ (4.5)	6.32 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tijuana
65.1%

Draw
20.3%

Atlante
14.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

19.3%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tijuana - Atlante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Paz A. (G) 24. Fong M. 2. Diaz K. 22. Bautista E. 14. Gonzalez V. 18. Carter T. 17. Motau A. 20. Carrandi D. 6. Ibarra F. 10. Hancar K. (C) 9. Surovtseva M.	1. Riley M. (G) 13. Kirnos A. 5. Valera S. 2. Torres A. 3. Estrada E. 9. McDaniel C. 8. Becerril K. (C) 21. Felix Rosales J. G. 16. Gomez Mejia S. S. 15. Herrera C. 26. Walker R.
Substitutes
78. Del Real B. (G) 3. Enrigue J. 11. Fuentes D. 7. Garcia J. 21. Moran L. 4. Ojeda D. 27. Parra L.	25. Amaro J. (G) 33. Cardenas N. 19. Conchas C. 11. Gonzalez V. 17. Lopez K. 18. Macotela S. 4. Sanchez V. 6. Vidrio D. 22. Villanueva A. 14. Vivanco S.
Coaches
Samayoa F.	Davila I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', Walker R. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Ibarra F. ⚽,
24', Kirnos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Gonzalez V. ↓, Parra L. ↑,
61', Surovtseva M. ↓, Moran L. ↑,
70', Lopez K. ↓, Conchas C. ↑,
70', Walker R. ↓, Villanueva A. ↑,
70', Herrera C. ↓, Gonzalez V. ↑,
75', Ibarra F. ↓, Fuentes D. ↑,
83', McDaniel C. ↓, Vidrio D. ↑,
83', Gomez Mejia S. S. ↓, Sanchez V. ↑,
84', Carrandi D. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
90+4', Moran L. 🟨,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 7th and 8th).

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Tijuana carries the favorite tag into this contest.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
26.09.26	Juárez - Tijuana	5:1 ✺
19.09.26	Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Toluca - Tijuana	6:0 ✺
05.09.26	Tijuana - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Club America - Tijuana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLWL
- Atlante FC Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
28.09.26	Atlante - UNAM	0:0 ✺
21.09.26	Atlante - Querétaro	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Atlas - Atlante	1:0 ✺
08.09.26	Atlante - Juárez	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Santos Laguna - Atlante	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Tijuana Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
31.10.26	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	✺

Tijuana - Atlante