The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tijuana 25.4%
Draw 25.5%
Chivas Guadalajara 49.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.2%
26.6%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
25.9%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Tijuana - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Paz A. (G) 27. Parra L. 3. Enrigue J. (C) 4. Ojeda D. 24. Fong M. 20. Carrandi D. 17. Motau A. 7. Garcia J. 11. Fuentes D. 18. Carter T. 9. Surovtseva M.
12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 3. Godinez D. 4. Colin N. 5. Ferral C. 21. Lopez S. 23. Casarez J. A. 14. Mauleon M. 16. Gonzalez E. 25. Montoya J. 24. Cervantes A. 22. Castro D.
Substitutes
22. Bautista E. 78. Del Real B. (G) 2. Diaz K. 14. Gonzalez V. 10. Hancar K. 6. Ibarra F. 8. Marroquin A. M. 21. Moran L. 32. Rojo N. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G.
19. Alvarado V. 1. Gonzalez Vite H. K. (G) 10. Iturbide A. 8. Jaramillo C. 13. Pelayo M. 2. Rodriguez J. 30. Salazar E. 76. Urbano M. 17. Villarreal N.
Coaches
Samayoa F.
Contreras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Surovtseva M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Castro D. ⚽,
42', Garcia J. 🟨,
43', Ojeda D. 🟨,
45', Cervantes A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Garcia J. ↓, Hancar K. ↑,
61', Lopez S. 🟨,
64', Carrandi D. ↓, Marroquin A. M. ↑,
64', Surovtseva M. ↓, Sandoval Trejo D. G. ↑,
66', Castro D. ↓, Jaramillo C. ↑,
71', Montoya J. ↓, Pelayo M. ↑,
78', Fuentes D. ↓, Ibarra F. ↑,
83', Mauleon M. 🟨,
90', Parra L. ↓, Rojo N. ↑,
90+3', Casarez J. A. ↓, Salazar E. ↑,
90+5', 0 - 2, Cervantes A. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 7th and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Playoffs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tijuana won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Tijuana may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Guadalajara carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Tijuana has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:23 (averaging 0.7:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tijuana against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 7:9 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).
Mexico
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Paz A. (G) 
Ojeda D. 
Motau A. 
Fuentes D. 
Carter T. 
Surovtseva M. 
Hancar K. 
Contreras A. 
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