Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Tiller		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.71	4.84
	1.49	4.81	4.81	Watch
	1.67	4.5	3.4
	1.41	5	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.92)	4.76 ↑ (4.4)	4.58 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiller
60.9%

Draw
19.2%

Lillestrøm 2
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

20.9%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

20.4%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiller's performance.

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillestrøm 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiller than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiller that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tiller - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Austberg I. ⚽,
30', 1 - 1, Waehler M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
60', 1 - 2, Woxen H. ⚽,
65', Alstad J. 🟥,
74', 2 - 2, Feldt B. ⚽,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tiller will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tiller won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiller IL
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
22.09.24	Stabæk 2 - Tiller	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Tiller - Nardo	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	Mosjøen - Tiller	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Tiller - Melhus	0:6 ✺
24.08.24	Trygg Lade - Tiller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 TWTLW
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Nardo	1:4 ✺
15.09.24	Surnadal IL - Lillestrøm 2	3:4 ✺
08.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Orkla FK	2:0 ✺
03.09.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2	0:3 ✺
25.08.24	Rana - Lillestrøm 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Tiller	4:1

Tiller - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide