Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday


	Timor-Leste		Philippines

	1	X	2
	55	11	1.05
	49	11.8	1.06
	35	8	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	46.33 ↑ (17.5)	10.27 ↑ (8.7)	1.06 ↓ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Timor-Leste
2%

Draw
9.1%

Philippines
88.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

5.4%

10.9%

83.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Timor-Leste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Philippines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Philippines's recent form is better than expected.

Timor Leste - Philippines Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philippines (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +3 - Timor-Leste (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Timor-Leste (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Philippines (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mendonca Georgino (G) Life FC 23. Correia A. 4. da Costa F. Lalenok 21. Freitas Gali (C) Persebaya 8. Gomes Osorio C. Persipal BU 10. Joao Pedro Kuching City FC 2. Jom R. Rydalmere Lions 11. Mouzinho Igalo 5. Panji J. 15. Santiago da Costa 22. Viegas N.	1. Mendoza K. (G) Chonburi 12. Aguinaldo A. (C) DPMM 14. Baccay J. Odds BK 9. Gayoso J. Bangkok FC 20. Kempter M. Muang Thong Utd 10. Kristensen B. KFUM Oslo 7. Leipold A. Helmond Sport 5. Nyholm J. Prachuap 6. Reyes S. Gutersloh 11. Schneider R. Winterthur 4. Tabinas J. Chonburi
Substitutes
19. Canavaro V. 13. Cruz Z. Serpa 6. da Costa E. 3. de Carvalho M. 12. de Castro Pereira J. M. (G) 18. Filomeno Junior 16. Freteliano 14. Kornelis Nahak 20. Niski D. (G) Mount Druitt Town Rangers 9. Rangel J. Leiston 17. Requis Dias Quintao M. D. 7. Zenivio Tanjong Pagar	18. Demuynck D. Lierse SK 15. Guimaraes N. (G) 16. Kammeraad Q. (G) Kuala Lumpur City 22. Lucero J. Kanchanaburi 13. Monis A. New England Revolution 23. Rasmussen S. 3. Rontini C. 21. Rublico S. Atl. Madrid 2. Ugelvik A. Prachuap

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', da Costa F. ↓, Filomeno Junior ↑,
15', 0 - 1, Kristensen B. ⚽,
31', 0 - 2, Kristensen B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gayoso J. ↓, Demuynck D. ↑,
46', Joao Pedro ↓, Canavaro V. ↑,
46', Jom R. ↓, Requis Dias Quintao M. D. ↑,
46', Gomes Osorio C. ↓, Zenivio ↑,
47', 1 - 2, Freitas Gali ⚽,
49', 1 - 3, Kristensen B. ⚽,
56', 1 - 4, Kristensen B. ⚽,
60', Mouzinho ↓, Rangel J. ↑,
63', Kristensen B. ↓, Rasmussen S. ↑,
67', Leipold A. ↓, Monis A. ↑,
67', Kempter M. ↓, Rublico S. ↑,
79', Schneider R. ↓, Rontini C. ↑,
87', Viegas N. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Philippines is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, East Timor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Including home matches between the teams, East Timor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 1:3.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Timor-Leste
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Timor-Leste - Maldives	1:0 ✺
25.03.25	Tajikistan - Timor-Leste	1:0 ✺
Friendly
20.03.25	Lebanon - Timor-Leste	4:0 ✺
ASEAN Championship
17.12.24	Cambodia - Timor-Leste	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Timor-Leste - Singapore	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLL
- Philippines
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Philippines - Tajikistan	2:2 ✺
25.03.25	Philippines - Maldives	4:1 ✺
ASEAN Championship
30.12.24	Thailand - Philippines	3:1 ET ✺
27.12.24	Philippines - Thailand	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Indonesia - Philippines	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ASEAN Championship
11.12.21	Timor-Leste - Philippines	0:7
17.11.18	Timor-Leste - Philippines	2:3
Friendly
05.12.17	Timor-Leste - Philippines	1:0

Timor-Leste - Philippines: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide