Match Info

Abissnet Superiore - Relegation - Final

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Arena Kombetare (Tirana)


	Tirana		Pogradeci

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6.6	Watch
	1.46	4	6.6	Watch
	1.45	3.88	6.6
	1.88	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.77)	3.87 ↑ (3.3)	5.73 ↑ (3.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tirana
59.7%

Draw
24%

Pogradeci
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

27%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

28.8%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tirana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tirana's performance.

Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tirana than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tirana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+5%)

Tirana - Pogradeci Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pogradeci (3.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogradeci (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Selmani G. (G) 4. Dembele M. 14. Haxhiu R. 99. Jarmouni W. 80. Kola E. 3. Mici G. 23. Ndreca A. 18. Pergjoni F. 8. Rafa Freitas 6. Soler I. 2. Vera L.	31. Stanic M. (G) 97. Alidemaj F. 2. Danladi S. 3. Ivani P. 48. Krasniqi J. 13. Lila V. 23. Pengu A. 88. Raza R. 11. Shkulaku H. 20. Vokrri S. 33. Zguro V.
Substitutes
9. Bajrovic A. 77. Gjumsi A. 26. Harizaj R. (G) 28. Ismajli Q. 5. Marku H. 33. Meta E. 22. Mihana E. 20. Smaci E.	98. Baci M. (G) 22. Berberi K. 14. Cereni M. 4. Hysenllari A. 17. Kasmollari O. 16. Pius F. 18. Samake A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
16', Pengu A. ↓, Hysenllari A. ↑,
31', Soler I. 🟨,
31', Hysenllari A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Shkulaku H. 🟨,
67', Lila V. ↓, Pius F. ↑,
67', Vokrri S. ↓, Samake A. ↑,
68', Kola E. ↓, Bajrovic A. ↑,
68', Haxhiu R. ↓, Gjumsi A. ↑,
71', Pergjoni F. 🟨,
81', Rafa Freitas ↓, Smaci E. ↑,
82', Alidemaj F. ↓, Kasmollari O. ↑,
89', Stanic M. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Hysenllari A. (Own goal),
90+9', Jarmouni W. ↓, Ismajli Q. ↑,
90+11', Ndreca A. 🟥,
90+12', Raza R. 🟥,
90+13', Danladi S. 🟨,

Preview

Tirana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pogradeci is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pogradeci has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tirana is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KF Tirana
Albanian Super League
19.04.25	Tirana - Teuta Durrës	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Tirana	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Tirana - Partizani Tirana	3:0 ✺
31.03.25	AF Elbasani - Tirana	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Tirana - Bylis Ballsh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWLT
- KS Pogradeci
Albanian Super League
28.04.25	Besa Kavajë - Pogradeci	0:1 ✺
24.04.25	Burreli - Pogradeci	0:1 ✺
Albanian First Division
05.04.25	Valbona - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
30.03.25	Pogradeci - Vora	1:0 ✺
26.03.25	Flamurtari Vlorë - Pogradeci	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 46.5 WWWWW

Tirana - Pogradeci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide