Match Info
Kategoria e Parë - Round 28Date: 22 March 2026, SundayLocation: Liri Ballabani Stadium (Burrel)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Albania | Klani IM, RTSH Sport |
World | FIFA+ |
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Burreli |
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Pogradeci |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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8.4 |
4.95 |
1.27 |
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6 |
3.95 |
1.46 |
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6.08 |
3.93 |
1.47 |
Watch |
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6 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
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5.71 |
3.98 |
1.48 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.44 ↑ (4.97) |
4.1 ↑ (3.57) |
1.44 ↓ (1.6) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Burreli 14.2% | Draw 22.3% | Pogradeci 63.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Burreli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Pogradeci has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pogradeci's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burreli than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pogradeci, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Burreli - Pogradeci Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Zguro V. ⚽,
- 35', 0 - 2, Lleshaj G. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 90+3', 0 - 3, Kazeem S. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 3.Burreli is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Pogradeci is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins). In this match, Pogradeci is the obvious favorite.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Burreli won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Burreli won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.3:0.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 8 |
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| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;