Match Info

Kategoria e Parë - Round 15

Date: 7 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Skënderbeu Stadium (Korçë)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Skënderbeu Korçë		Pogradeci

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.15	9
	1.30	4.23	10.94	Watch
	1.27	4.45	11.3
	1.27	4.2	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.59)	4.26 ↑ (3.5)	10.19 ↑ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Skënderbeu Korçë
69.9%

Draw
21.2%

Pogradeci
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.9%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

25.1%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Skënderbeu Korçë has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Skënderbeu Korçë's performance.

Pogradeci has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pogradeci might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skënderbeu Korçë than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Skënderbeu Korçë that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogradeci than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pogradeci could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pogradeci (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Nasr S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 1 - 1, Kazeem S. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Danladi S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Abissnet Superiore (Promotion: )).

Skënderbeu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Pogradeci's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Pogradeci may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Skënderbeu is a strong favorite.

We predict that Skënderbeu will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Skënderbeu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Skënderbeu Korçë
Albanian First Division
28.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Lushnja	4:3 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Iliria	4:2 ✺
Albanian First Division
09.11.25	Apolonia Fier - Skënderbeu Korçë	2:3 ✺
03.11.25	Skënderbeu Korçë - Korabi Peshkopi	3:2 ✺
29.10.25	Kastrioti - Skënderbeu Korçë	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWWWL
- KS Pogradeci
Albanian First Division
03.12.25	Laçi - Pogradeci	0:0 ✺
29.11.25	Pogradeci - Iliria	0:0 ✺
Albanian Cup
19.11.25	Pogradeci - Korabi Peshkopi	4:3 ✺
Albanian First Division
07.11.25	Burreli - Pogradeci	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Pogradeci - Apolonia Fier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Albanian First Division
19.09.25	Pogradeci - Skënderbeu Korçë	0:1

Skënderbeu Korçë - Pogradeci: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide