The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tiverton Town 20.3%
Draw 23%
Wimborne Town 56.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.6%
26.1%
43.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
25.1%
45.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tiverton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tiverton Town's form might have worsened.
Wimborne Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wimborne Town's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tiverton Town than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tiverton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (-11.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Wimborne Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 3.
Tiverton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Wimborne has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Wimborne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Wimborne could have a small edge in this match.
We predict that Wimborne will win today's game, with odds of 1.95.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tiverton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tiverton won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.5:1).