Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 40

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Wimborne Town		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.15	2.48
	2.64	3.03	2.61
	2.57	3.42	2.58	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.49	3.28	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.49)	3.18 ↓ (3.48)	2.53 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wimborne Town
35.6%

Draw
28.5%

Berkhamsted
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

25.9%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

26.2%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wimborne Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wimborne Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Wimborne Town - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Andrews L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
75', Watkins A. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )).

Wimborne has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Berkhamsted is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Wimborne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Wimborne has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Wimborne won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Outrights of English Southern League South Division for now

Wimborne: 0.79%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Berkhamsted	10	4	1	5	11:14	-3	13
12	Wimborne	8	3	3	2	10:4	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Wimborne Town - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 36.29%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wimborne Town
English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Poole Town - Wimborne Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Wimborne Town - Farnham Town	0:1 ✺
28.03.26	Uxbridge - Wimborne Town	3:3 ✺
21.03.26	Chertsey Town - Wimborne Town	3:0 ✺
17.03.26	Wimborne Town - Walton & Hersham	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLTLL
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League South Division
06.04.26	Berkhamsted - Hungerford Town	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Dorchester Town - Berkhamsted	2:3 ✺
28.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Havant & Waterlooville - Berkhamsted	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Berkhamsted - Gloucester City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
06.09.25	Berkhamsted - Wimborne Town	0:3

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