Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP G - ROUND 22

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Tivoli Calcio		Sorrento

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.25	3.1	2.1
	3.26	3.08	2.08
	3.34	3.1	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (3.22)	3.07 ↑ (3.05)	2.11 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tivoli Calcio
27.8%

Draw
29.4%

Sorrento
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

29.4%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.7%

29.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tivoli Calcio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Sorrento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tivoli Calcio than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sorrento than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tivoli Calcio - Sorrento Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs)).

Tivoli is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sorrento is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sorrento could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tivoli have a series of guest games.

Sorrento will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tivoli Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
29.01.23	Pomezia - Tivoli Calcio	3:3 ✺
22.01.23	Real Monterotondo - Tivoli Calcio	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Tivoli Calcio - Cassino	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Romana - Tivoli Calcio	2:3 ✺
21.12.22	Paganese - Tivoli Calcio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 TLLWL
- Sorrento FC
Italian Serie D - Group G
29.01.23	Sorrento - Aprilia	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Cockburn City - Sorrento	1:2 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group G
22.01.23	Palmese 1914 - Sorrento	1:0 ✺
18.01.23	Sorrento - Angri	3:0 ✺
15.01.23	Portici - Sorrento	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLWT

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