Match Info

Premier League - Round 38

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Waterhouse Mini Stadium (Kingston)


	Waterhouse		Chapelton Maroons

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.35	4.55	Watch
	1.67	3.36	4.36
	1.71	3.77	4.59	Watch
	1.64	3.44	5.04	Watch
	1.58	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.6)	3.5 ↓ (3.91)	4.66 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Waterhouse
54.7%

Draw
25.9%

Chapelton Maroons
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

23.5%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.4%

22.7%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Waterhouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Chapelton Maroons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Waterhouse than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapelton Maroons than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Murray C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 2 - 0, Bicknell A. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Campbell K. ⚽,

Preview

Waterhouse is Qualified for Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Waterhouse is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Waterhouse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.3:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Waterhouse won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Waterhouse	3	3	0	0	13:0	13	9
10	Chapelton	4	1	1	2	3:10	-7	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Waterhouse FC
Jamaica National Premier League
27.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Waterhouse	2:1 ✺
23.04.26	Waterhouse - Treasure Beach	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Harbour View - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Waterhouse - Tivoli Gardens	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Racing United - Waterhouse	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- Chapelton Maroons
Jamaica National Premier League
26.04.26	Chapelton Maroons - Spanish Town Police	6:2 ✺
23.04.26	Mount Pleasant - Chapelton Maroons	5:2 ✺
19.04.26	Chapelton Maroons - Portmore United	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Treasure Beach - Chapelton Maroons	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Chapelton Maroons - Cavalier	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Jamaica National Premier League
22.01.26	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	0:1
29.09.25	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	3:0
31.03.25	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	1:1
26.01.25	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	0:3
28.10.24	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	1:1
12.03.23	Chapelton Maroons - Waterhouse	2:3
21.11.22	Waterhouse - Chapelton Maroons	0:1

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