Match Info

Date: 25 May 2022, Wednesday


	Tlemcen		ES Sétif

	1	X	2
	15.5	6	1.16
	12.5	5.1	1.2
	16	5.4	1.15
	14.63	5.46	1.22
	19	5.5	1.15
	16.25	6.15	1.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	15.65 ↑ (9.08)	5.6 ↑ (4.13)	1.17 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tlemcen
5.8%

Draw
16.3%

ES Sétif
77.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.2%

22.4%

67.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10%

21.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tlemcen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ES Sétif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ES Sétif's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlemcen than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ES Sétif than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ES Sétif, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tlemcen - ES Sétif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 10).

Tlemcen is Relegated to Ligue 2

Tlemcen has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

ES Sétif is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Tlemcen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ES Sétif is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tlemcen won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Tlemcen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- WA Tlemcen
Algerian Ligue 1
21.05.22	Kabylie - Tlemcen	2:0 ✺
14.05.22	Tlemcen - Chelghoum	1:4 ✺
06.05.22	USM Alger - Tlemcen	2:0 ✺
29.04.22	Tlemcen - Biskra	0:3 ✺
23.04.22	Saoura - Tlemcen	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- ES Sétif
Algerian Ligue 1
22.05.22	Arbaâ - ES Sétif	3:1 ✺
18.05.22	Belouizdad - ES Sétif	1:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
14.05.22	ES Sétif - Al Ahly Cairo	2:2 ✺
Algerian Ligue 1
10.05.22	ES Sétif - Rélizane	7:0 ✺
CAF Champions League
07.05.22	Al Ahly Cairo - ES Sétif	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Ligue 1
11.12.21	ES Sétif - Tlemcen	1:0
24.08.21	Tlemcen - ES Sétif	1:0
Algerian Coupe de la Ligue
08.05.21	ES Sétif - Tlemcen	1:2
Algerian Ligue 1
21.03.21	ES Sétif - Tlemcen	4:1

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