Match Info

Date: 28 May 2022, Saturday


	Tocantinópolis		Castanhal

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.5
	2.3	3.2	2.75
	2.5	2.95	2.5
	2.72	2.76	2.62
	2.62	2.8	2.55
	2.74	2.88	2.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.92)	2.95 ↓ (3.18)	2.6 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
34.9%

Draw
30.5%

Castanhal
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

29%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

30.4%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tocantinópolis's performance.

Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Castanhal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tocantinópolis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+15.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castanhal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	66.7%	22.2%

Tocantinópolis - Castanhal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tocantinópolis will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Castanhal will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
21.05.22	4 de Julho - Tocantinópolis	2:2 ✺
14.05.22	Tocantinópolis - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
10.05.22	Athletico Paranaense - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
07.05.22	SE Juventude - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
30.04.22	Tocantinópolis - Pacajus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 TWLTT
- Castanhal EC
Brazilian Serie D
21.05.22	Castanhal - SE Juventude	0:0 ✺
14.05.22	Castanhal - Tuna Luso Brasileira	0:0 ✺
08.05.22	4 de Julho - Castanhal	0:3 ✺
03.05.22	Castanhal - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
22.04.22	Pacajus - Castanhal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTWTL

Tocantinópolis - Castanhal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide