The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castanhal 32.8%
Draw 30.7%
Fluminense Piaui 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40%
24%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
24.1%
36.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castanhal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castanhal's form might have worsened.
Fluminense Piaui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castanhal than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castanhal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
41.7%
41.7%
Castanhal - Fluminense Piaui Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Castanhal will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Fluminense PI will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Fluminense PI: 13.8% – 69.6%.
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Preview
Recent matches Castanhal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fluminense PI is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Castanhal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.