Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio Francisco Vasques (Belem) 🌤️ ...


	Tuna Luso Brasileira		Tocantinópolis

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.55
	1.78	3.15	4.41
	1.68	3.34	5.18	Watch
	1.62	3.3	4.8
	1.72	3.18	4.86
	1.73	3.15	4.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.69)	3.2 ↑ (3.13)	4.75 ↓ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tuna Luso Brasileira
52.7%

Draw
28.2%

Tocantinópolis
19%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

29.1%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55%

28.5%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tuna Luso Brasileira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tuna Luso Brasileira than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Alves J. ⚽,
42', 2 - 0, Franklin Douglas ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
81', 2 - 1, Romulo ⚽,
87', 2 - 2, Daelson ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 3, Hitalo J. ⚽,

Preview

Tuna Luso has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tocantinópolis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Tuna Luso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tuna Luso is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tuna Luso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:8. (average 2.8:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tuna Luso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 4.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tuna Luso Brasileira
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Tocantinópolis - Tuna Luso Brasileira	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Águia de Marabá - Tuna Luso Brasileira	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Oratório	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Trem - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:3 ✺
05.04.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Imperatriz de Desportos	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLWTT
- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Tocantinópolis - Tuna Luso Brasileira	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Porto Vitória - Tocantinópolis	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tocantinópolis	1:1 ✺
22.04.26	Oratório - Tocantinópolis	3:0 ✺
19.04.26	Tocantinópolis - Trem	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
02.05.26	Tocantinópolis - Tuna Luso Brasileira	1:1
Copa do Brasil
04.03.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis	4:1
Brazilian Serie D
17.07.22	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis	5:3
17.04.22	Tocantinópolis - Tuna Luso Brasileira	3:1

Tuna Luso Brasileira - Tocantinópolis