Match Info

Tocantinense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Tocantinópolis		União Carmolandense

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.4	4.8
	1.7	3.26	5.21	Watch
	1.64	3.35	5.24
	1.69	3.2	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.66)	3.3 ↓ (3.33)	5.01 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
54.3%

Draw
27.5%

União Carmolandense
18.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.8%

27.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

27.1%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

União Carmolandense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Carmolandense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', 🟥,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Tocantinense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 1.

Tocantinópolis is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches União Carmolandense is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

União Carmolandense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tocantinópolis is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tocantinópolis won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Tocantinópolis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
22.03.25	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Tocantinópolis - Batalhão	4:2 ✺
12.03.25	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	3:0 ✺
08.03.25	Araguaína - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Tocantinópolis - Gurupi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWWT
- União Carmolandense
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
22.03.25	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	3:0 ✺
09.03.25	União Carmolandense - Tocantins	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
06.03.25	Maringá - União Carmolandense	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
01.03.25	União Carmolandense - Araguaína	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Tocantinense
22.03.25	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	1:0
12.03.25	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	3:0
06.04.24	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	2:1
30.03.24	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	1:2
02.03.24	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	0:0
25.02.23	União Carmolandense - Tocantinópolis	0:0
26.03.22	Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense	2:2 penalties

Tocantinópolis - União Carmolandense