The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi 29.2%
Draw 27.2%
Montedio Yamagata 43.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.8%
28.2%
38%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
28.6%
38.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
Montedio Yamagata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Montedio Yamagata's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (-5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Tochigi - Montedio Yamagata Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Tochigi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Kawata S. (G) 4. Sato S. 3. Higashi R. 37. Kimura Y. 2. Sakurai R. 23. Sese H. 7. Osako R. 16. Myogan T. 39. Yagi K. 80. Otabor K. 20. Suzuki W. I.
34. Sato R. (G) 15. Kawai A. 2. Lee Dong-Hee 22. Shirowa H. 6. Yamada T. 88. Thalisson 20. Yoshio Kaina 39. Mori K. 23. Tanaka S. 11. Disaro A. S. 25. Kokubu S.
Substitutes
10. Igarashi T. 77. Nakamura J. 13. Osone K. 31. Shikano S. (G) 24. Tabata R. 26. Tabata T. 15. Tsutsumi H. 25. Yamaguchi T. 29. Yano K.
27. Enomoto K. 16. Hasegawa K. (G) 55. Horikane S. 10. Kida R. 13. Nodake H. 49. Sakamoto K. 5. Sugii H. 30. Takenoya Y. 17. Terayama T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Mori K. ⚽, Thalisson (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Myogan T. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
61', Kokubu S. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
65', Thalisson ↓, Nodake H. ↑,
65', Tanaka S. ↓, Kida R. ↑,
72', Sakurai R. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
72', Otabor K. ↓, Osone K. ↑,
81', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Enomoto K. ↑,
81', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
82', Suzuki W. I. 🟨,
85', Sese H. ↓, Igarashi T. ↑,
88', Sato S. 🟨,
90+6', Yamada T. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
90+7', Osako R. ↓, Yano K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tochigi won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:30. (average 1:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tochigi won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 0.9:1.3).
Usa
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Kawata S. (G) 
Otabor K. 
Lee Dong-Hee 
Thalisson 
