Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Pocarisweat Stadium (Naruto)

Referee: Sendachi K. (Jpn)


	Tokushima Vortis		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.49
	2.3	3.15	3.49
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.26	3.14	3.24	Watch
	2.25	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.24)	3.11 ↓ (3.21)	3.27 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokushima Vortis
41.5%

Draw
30%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

28.7%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

27.4%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokushima Vortis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokushima Vortis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Suarez J. (G) 18. Elsinho 3. Ishio R. 5. Mori K. 42. Hashimoto K. 20. Kodama S. 54. Nagaki R. 33. Nakano K. 10. Sugimoto T. 30. Tsuboi K. 8. Kakitani Y.	42. Ishii R. (G) 3. Ohata R. 2. Shirowa H. 36. Nakashio D. 29. Tagashira R. 6. Amagasa T. 15. Kazama K. 5. Kawakami C. 10. Sato R. 8. Takazawa Y. 23. Hiramatsu S.
Substitutes
9. Browne N. 4. Kaique 13. Nishino T. 27. Shimakawa T. 17. Takada S. 21. Tanaka H. (G) 7. Tiago Alves	41. Einaga T. 13. Issei K. (G) 9. Kitagawa S. 40. Sagawa K. 22. Takahashi Y. 7. Wada M. 17. Yamanaka A.
Coaches
Yoshida T.	Otsuki T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Nakano K. ↓, Tiago Alves ↑,
60', Sugimoto T. ↓, Shimakawa T. ↑,
60', Kodama S. ↓, Browne N. ↑,
60', Hiramatsu S. ↓, Sagawa K. ↑,
60', Sato R. ↓, Einaga T. ↑,
73', Amagasa T. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
73', Tsuboi K. ↓, Takada S. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Kawakami C. ⚽, Sagawa K. (A),
81', Kawakami C. ↓, Yamanaka A. ↑,
81', Takazawa Y. ↓, Wada M. ↑,
89', Kakitani Y. ↓, Kaique ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 2.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Recently Thespakusatsu have a series of home games.

Tokushima will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tokushima won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Tokushima won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokushima Vortis
Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Vegalta Sendai - Tokushima Vortis	0:0 ✺
20.03.24	Tokushima Vortis - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 ✺
16.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Tokushima Vortis	1:2 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Nagano Parceiro - Tokushima Vortis	5:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Tokushima Vortis - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWLL
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J2 League
24.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
20.03.24	Yokohama FC - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Ehime	0:1 ✺
10.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - JEF United Chiba	1:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Sagamihara	4:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
01.07.23	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:0
23.04.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
26.06.22	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:0
08.05.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	0:0
01.11.20	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tokushima Vortis	2:3
05.09.20	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0
07.10.17	Tokushima Vortis - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1

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