Match Info

Date: 4 December 2021, Saturday


	Tolosa		Vitoria

	1	X	2
	4.33	3	1.78
	3.95	2.95	1.79
	4.2	3	1.79
	4.13	2.94	1.75
	4.34	3.1	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (4.13)	3 ↑ (2.94)	1.8 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tolosa
21.1%

Draw
29.5%

Vitoria
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

29.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.3%

22.9%

63.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tolosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Vitoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tolosa than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tolosa - Vitoria Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Tolosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vitoria is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vitoria is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tolosa FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.11.21	Amurrio - Tolosa	0:2 ✺
20.11.21	Tolosa - Pasaia	0:1 ✺
13.11.21	Uritarra - Tolosa	1:0 ✺
06.11.21	Tolosa - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Barakaldo - Tolosa	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLLWL
- CD Vitoria
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.11.21	Vitoria - Leioa	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Urduliz - Vitoria	1:2 ✺
13.11.21	Vitoria - Anaitasuna	5:0 ✺
06.11.21	Durango - Vitoria	0:2 ✺
30.10.21	Vitoria - Basconia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWWL

Tolosa - Vitoria: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide