Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday


	Toluca U21		Cruz Azul U21

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.71	3.5	Watch
	1.97	3.62	3.37
	1.85	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.94)	3.61 ↑ (3.49)	3.46 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca U21
48.2%

Draw
25.4%

Cruz Azul U21
26.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47%

26.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Cruz Azul U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Toluca U21 - Cruz Azul U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Espinosa S. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Segura E. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Virgen O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Penalties (6 - 5)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
6, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
7, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),
8, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Toluca U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Toluca U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Toluca U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Toluca U21	12	9	3	0	0	26:9	33
16	Cruz Azul U21	12	1	5	1	5	21:19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
30.01.26	Puebla U21 - Toluca U21	1:2 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Tigres UANL U21 - Toluca U21	3:2 penalties ✺
14.01.26	Toluca U21 - Santos Laguna U21	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Monterrey U21 - Toluca U21	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Cruz Azul U21 - Toluca U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWWT
- Cruz Azul U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
30.01.26	Juárez U21 - Cruz Azul U21	0:1 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Puebla U21	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Atlas U21	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Club León U21 - Cruz Azul U21	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Santos Laguna U21 - Cruz Azul U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
22.11.25	Cruz Azul U21 - Toluca U21	0:0
19.11.25	Toluca U21 - Cruz Azul U21	1:4
23.08.25	Cruz Azul U21 - Toluca U21	1:0 penalties

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