Match Info

Date: 8 August 2021, Sunday


	Tom Tomsk		Orenburg

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	3.8	1.52
	5.6	3.55	1.5
	5.6	3.65	1.5
	6.83	3.97	1.53
	5.8	3.8	1.5
	6.3	4.05	1.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↑ (5.2)	3.8 (3.8)	1.51 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tom Tomsk
15.2%

Draw
24.1%

Orenburg
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

25%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

14.6%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tom Tomsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tom Tomsk than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tom Tomsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-27.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orenburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tom Tomsk - Orenburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Tom is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Orenburg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tom could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Tom have a series of guest games.

Recently Orenburg have a series of home games.

In this match Orenburg is absolute favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Tom won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 4-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Tom won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tom Tomsk
Russian Cup
04.08.21	Veles Moscow - Tom Tomsk	1:0 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
31.07.21	Veles Moscow - Tom Tomsk	1:0 ✺
24.07.21	Fakel - Tom Tomsk	2:0 ✺
17.07.21	Tom Tomsk - Baltika Kaliningrad	1:0 ✺
11.07.21	Metallurg Lipetsk - Tom Tomsk	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLWL
- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
31.07.21	Orenburg - Fakel	0:2 ✺
24.07.21	Baltika Kaliningrad - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
17.07.21	Orenburg - Metallurg Lipetsk	4:0 ✺
10.07.21	Orenburg - Volgar Astrakhan	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.07.21	Orenburg - Slovácko	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
02.05.21	Orenburg - Tom Tomsk	2:0
07.11.20	Tom Tomsk - Orenburg	0:1
31.03.18	Orenburg - Tom Tomsk	3:0
06.09.17	Tom Tomsk - Orenburg	0:0
Russian Premier League
23.04.17	Tom Tomsk - Orenburg	1:2
16.10.16	Orenburg - Tom Tomsk	3:1
Russian FNL
16.03.16	Orenburg - Tom Tomsk	1:0

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