Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 21 July 2025, Monday

Location: Luzhniki Stadium (Moscow)

Referee: Egorov E. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	Q Sport Asia
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3


	Orenburg		CSKA Moscow

	1	X	2
	5.44	4.3	1.57
	6.04	4.46	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.74 ↑ (5.36)	4.38 ↑ (3.98)	1.59 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orenburg
16.9%

Draw
22.1%

CSKA Moscow
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

24%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

CSKA Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Orenburg - CSKA Moscow Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 - CSKA (3.90) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Orenburg (2.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: CSKA Moscow will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): CSKA Moscow will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Orenburg (votes: 1 - 14.3%). CSKA (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ovsyannikov B. (G) 5. Tataev A. 38. Kasimov A. 44. Chichinadze A. 31. Zotov G. 8. Kamilov V. 33. Kvekveskiri I. 3. Vedernikov D. 20. Rybchinskiy D. 9. Savelyev M. 7. Gurluk E.	35. Akinfeev I. (G) 22. Gajic M. 90. Lukin M. 4. Willyan Rocha 27. Moises 10. Oblyakov I. 31. Kislyak M. 17. Glebov K. 8. Shumansky A. 3. Krugovoy D. 11. Musaev T.
Substitutes
96. Baranovsky A. 57. Bolotov E. 30. Guzina G. 95. Khodanovich A. (G) 4. Khotulev D. 17. Lomakin A. 11. Oganesyan S. 2. Poroykov S. 10. Saharkhizan S. 59. Syshchenko M. 99. Sysuev N. (G) 16. Thompson J.	23. Abdulkadyrov D. 9. Alerrandro 52. Bandikyan A. 85. Besaev E. (G) 13. Khellven 20. Koita S. 7. Matheus Alves 68. Ryadno M. 49. Torop V. (G)
Coaches
Sliskovic V.	Celestini F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Glebov K. 🟨,
39', Lukin M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Kasimov A. 🟨,
52', Willyan Rocha 🟨,
59', Glebov K. ↓, Matheus Alves ↑,
59', Musaev T. ↓, Alerrandro ↑,
61', Rybchinskiy D. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
61', Savelyev M. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
66', Oblyakov I. 🟨,
70', Krugovoy D. ↓, Koita S. ↑,
70', Kamilov V. ↓, Baranovsky A. ↑,
71', Gurluk E. ↓, Thompson J. ↑,
78', Tataev A. ↓, Khotulev D. ↑,
79', Kvekveskiri I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 0.

CSKA is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

CSKA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, CSKA is the team to beat.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 11:35. (average 0.7:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 3:18. (average 0.4:2.3).

Last Results with these Odds

CSKA Moscow - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 58.19%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Orenburg
Russian FNL
20.07.25	Orenburg - Chelyabinsk	2:3 ✺
Russian Premier League
24.05.25	Rubin Kazan - Orenburg	4:2 ✺
17.05.25	Orenburg - Krasnodar	1:2 ✺
10.05.25	Orenburg - Khimki	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Lokomotiv Moscow - Orenburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLLTT
- CSKA Moscow
Russian Super Cup
12.07.25	Krasnodar - CSKA Moscow	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
05.07.25	CSKA Moscow - OFK Beograd	4:2 ✺
01.07.25	CSKA Moscow - Partizan	3:1 ✺
27.06.25	CSKA Moscow - Amkal Moscow	4:0 ✺
Russian Cup
01.06.25	Rostov - CSKA Moscow	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League
12.04.25	Orenburg - CSKA Moscow	0:2
04.08.24	CSKA Moscow - Orenburg	5:1
02.03.24	CSKA Moscow - Orenburg	1:1
Russian Cup
02.11.23	CSKA Moscow - Orenburg	3:1
Russian Premier League
25.08.23	Orenburg - CSKA Moscow	1:1
Russian Cup
26.07.23	Orenburg - CSKA Moscow	0:6
Russian Premier League
07.05.23	CSKA Moscow - Orenburg	2:1

Upcoming Matches