The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tomares 22.1%
Draw 30.9%
Ciudad de Lucena 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
21.8%
31.2%
47.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21%
30%
49%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tomares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (+2%)
Tomares - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Tomares has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ciudad de Lucena is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Ciudad de Lucena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Ciudad de Lucena is seen as the favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1:10. (average 0.2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tomares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
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