Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 12

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday


	Linense		Ciudad de Lucena

	1	X	2
	2.18	2.92	3.25
	2.08	2.95	3.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.19)	2.94 ↑ (2.93)	3.4 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linense
42.5%

Draw
30.8%

Ciudad de Lucena
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.9%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.7%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Ciudad de Lucena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Linense - Ciudad de Lucena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Linense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ciudad de Lucena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Linense might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Balompedica Linense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.25	Bollullos - Linense	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Linense - Sevilla C	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tomares - Linense	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Atlético Onubense - Linense	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Linense - Pozoblanco	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWWTW
- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.11.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Onubense	2:0 ✺
09.11.25	Pozoblanco - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Ciudad de Lucena - San Roque de Lepe	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Villarreal	0:6 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.10.25	Castilleja - Ciudad de Lucena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTTLW

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