Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 16

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Tomares		Coria CF

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.45
	1.78	3.32	4.45
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.74	3.35	4.39
	1.71	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.77)	3.3 ↓ (3.35)	4.42 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
52%

Draw
27.5%

Coria CF
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

27.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

23.3%

24.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Coria CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tomares that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria CF than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Tomares - Coria CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Buzon S. ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
48', 2 - 0, Lopez S. ⚽,
65', 3 - 0, Vega R. ⚽,
72', 4 - 0, Delgado F. ⚽,
82', 5 - 0, Sanchez J. ⚽,

Preview

Tomares is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Coria CF is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Tomares is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tomares won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Including home match between the teams, Tomares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Tomares UD	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.12.25	Tomares - Ciudad de Lucena	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tomares - Bollullos	0:1 ✺
23.11.25	Córdoba B - Tomares	1:2 ✺
16.11.25	Tomares - Sevilla C	1:3 ✺
09.11.25	Chiclana - Tomares	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TLWLL
- Coria CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
20.12.25	Ceuta B - Coria CF	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Coria CF - Córdoba B	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Chiclana - Coria CF	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Coria CF - Conil	0:1 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Central - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
27.04.25	Tomares - Coria CF	4:0
08.12.24	Coria CF - Tomares	0:0

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