Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 21

Date: 1 April 2026, Wednesday


	Tomares		Utrera

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.05	3.2
	2.95	2.00	4.13	Watch
	2.12	3.1	3.25
	2.11	3.07	3.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.14)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	3.45 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomares
40%

Draw
33.1%

Utrera
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

29.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

29.8%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Utrera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomares than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Tomares - Utrera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Tomares may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tomares might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tomares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tomares won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CD Utrera	5	4	0	1	7:5	2	12
8	Tomares UD	5	2	2	1	6:5	1	8

Last Results with these Odds

Utrera - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 27.43%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Tomares
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
28.03.26	Sevilla C - Tomares	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Tomares - Chiclana	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Linense - Tomares	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Tomares - Conil	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Atlético Onubense - Tomares	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TWTLT
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
29.03.26	Castilleja - Utrera	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Utrera - Coria CF	3:2 ✺
14.03.26	Ceuta B - Utrera	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Utrera - Córdoba B	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Chiclana - Utrera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
28.09.25	Utrera - Tomares	2:0
26.01.25	Tomares - Utrera	1:3
15.09.24	Utrera - Tomares	1:0
19.01.22	Utrera - Tomares	1:0
19.09.21	Tomares - Utrera	1:3

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