Match Info

Date: 18 June 2021, Friday


	Tombense		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.85	2.75
	2.6	2.8	2.7
	2.4	2.75	3.05
	2.75	2.84	3.04
	2.6	2.62	2.88
	2.59	2.88	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (2.6)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)	2.88 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
35.5%

Draw
32.8%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

32.1%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.4%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviário Fortaleza than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviário Fortaleza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tombense - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage)).

Recent matches Tombense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ferroviário is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie C
13.06.21	Tombense - Altos	2:2 ✺
06.06.21	Jacuipense - Tombense	1:1 ✺
29.05.21	Tombense - Paysandu	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.05.21	Atlético Mineiro - Tombense	1:1 ✺
01.05.21	Tombense - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTTTL
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Serie C
14.06.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 ✺
05.06.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Altos	1:0 ✺
29.05.21	Botafogo PB - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
19.05.21	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Ceará	0:3 ✺
17.05.21	Pacajus - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTLW

Tombense - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide