Match Info

Date: 29 May 2021, Saturday


	Tombense		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.95	3.25
	2	3	3.6
	2.14	2.85	3.4
	2.2	3.09	3.67
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.13	2.96	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.12)	2.93 ↓ (3)	3.48 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
42.8%

Draw
31%

Paysandu
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

30.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

20.1%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Paysandu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tombense - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Tombense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paysandu is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tombense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.05.21	Atlético Mineiro - Tombense	1:1 ✺
01.05.21	Tombense - Atlético Mineiro	0:3 ✺
25.04.21	Tombense - Pouso Alegre	2:0 ✺
18.04.21	Uberlândia - Tombense	1:1 ✺
14.04.21	Boa Esporte - Tombense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWTW
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
23.05.21	Paysandu - Tuna Luso Brasileira	4:1 ✺
16.05.21	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Paysandu	4:2 ✺
12.05.21	Paysandu - Castanhal	2:1 penalties ✺
09.05.21	Castanhal - Paysandu	0:0 ✺
05.05.21	Paysandu - Bragantino do Pará	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
04.07.19	Tombense - Paysandu	0:1
06.05.19	Paysandu - Tombense	1:0

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