Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE B - ROUND 7

Date: 19 May 2023, Friday

Location: Almeidão (Tombos)


	Tombense		Londrina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	1.94	3.1	4
	2.11	3.31	3.87
	2.05	3.2	3.6
	2.07	3.3	3.68	Watch
	2.04	3.2	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.2)	3.2 ↑ (3.07)	3.72 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
45.8%

Draw
29.1%

Londrina
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.2%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tombense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Tombense - Londrina Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tombense will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Londrina will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tombense: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1.

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Londrina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tombense is a favorite.

There will not play in Tombense: Daniel Amorim (Injury) Emerson (Injury) Fernandao (Injury) Keke (Injury) Kevin (Injury) Kleiton (Injury)

There will not play in Londrina: Clayton (Injury) Garraty (Injury) Junior Dutra (Injury) Lucas Coelho (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Serie B
13.05.23	Ceará - Tombense	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Sport Recife - Tombense	3:2 ✺
06.05.23	Tombense - Avaí	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Tombense - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
26.04.23	Tombense - Palmeiras	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLTT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
14.05.23	Londrina - Ponte Preta	3:0 ✺
08.05.23	Atlético Goianiense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
01.05.23	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
28.04.23	Vitória Salvador - Londrina	2:0 ✺
23.04.23	Chapecoense - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
16.09.22	Tombense - Londrina	1:1
07.06.22	Londrina - Tombense	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
28.11.20	Londrina - Tombense	2:1
27.09.20	Tombense - Londrina	2:1
22.08.15	Tombense - Londrina	0:1
07.06.15	Londrina - Tombense	1:0

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