The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Londrina 50.4%
Draw 25.9%
América Mineiro 23.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.7%
26.2%
22%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
25.6%
21.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
América Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for América Mineiro than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Londrina - América Mineiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 18th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: ) and 19th in the Relegation - Serie C (First stage: )).
Londrina is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).
América MG is Relegated to Serie C (First stage ).
Recent results have been tough for Londrina (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by América MG have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Londrina could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Bookmakers give the edge to Londrina for this game.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Londrina has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:9 (averaging 1.2:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Londrina against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals (averaging 0:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
18
Londrina ✔
35
8
8
19
44:51
-7
32
19
America MG ✔
35
6
5
24
23:54
-31
23
Last Results with these Odds
Londrina - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
América Mineiro - the odds 4.24 are the expected chance of winning is 22.04%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.