Match Info

Mineiro - Round 4

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)


	Tombense		North Esporte Clube

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.22	2.88	3.4	Watch
	2.31	2.74	3.45	Watch
	2.25	2.7	3.2
	2.31	2.61	3.53	Watch
	2.37	2.62	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.5)	2.71 ↑ (2.7)	3.44 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
39.8%

Draw
33.7%

North Esporte Clube
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

34.1%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

North Esporte Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Tombense - North Esporte Clube Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - North (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. North (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Matheus Aurelio (G) 2. Julio Henrique 3. Wesley 4. Roger Carvalho 6. Xavier 8. Dyego 5. Wanderson 7. Rafinha 10. Pedro Oliveira 11. Jefferson Renan 9. Julio Cesar	31. Yago Oliveira (G) 2. Lucas Mota 26. Leo Gobo 3. Bruno Bispo 6. Foguinho 55. Ferreira 5. Camacho 77. Gustavo Ermel 91. Clayton 17. Gabriel Rossetto 21. Gabriel Santiago
Substitutes
13. Auro 14. Breno Roma 18. Cleiton 23. Davi Schneider (G) 15. Diego Leandro 12. Douglas Marques (G) 21. Felipinho 17. Joao Vitor 22. Jupi 16. PH 20. Ronald	10. Christian 13. Diego Guerra 35. Patrick Santos 92. Rafael Pin (G) 28. Rennan Siqueira 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 20. Serginho 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson 30. Yuri Merlim
Coaches
Borges C.	Kleberson

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Wanderson 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ferreira ↓, Yuri Merlim ↑,
46', Luiz Felipe ↓, Ronald ↑,
46', Jefferson Renan ↓, Felipinho ↑,
46', Pedro Oliveira ↓, Joao Vitor ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Gustavo Ermel ⚽, Gabriel Rossetto (A),
59', Lucas Mota 🟨,
59', 🟨,
70', Lucas Mota ↓, Wellisson ↑,
71', Gustavo Ermel ↓, Serginho ↑,
71', Clayton ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
76', Gabriel Santiago 🟨,
80', Gabriel Santiago ↓, Diego Guerra ↑,
84', Rafinha ↓, Cleiton ↑,
90', Breno Roma 🟨,
90', Breno Roma ↓, PH ↑,

Preview

In recent matches, Tombense has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

North may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tombense might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
18.01.26	Atlético Mineiro - Tombense	0:0 ✺
14.01.26	Tombense - Cruzeiro	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Uberlândia - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
30.12.25	Tombense - Rio Branco-VN	Canceled ✺
23.12.25	Tombense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLT?W
- North Esporte Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
17.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Betim	1:2 ✺
14.01.26	North Esporte Clube - Atlético Mineiro	1:1 ✺
10.01.26	URT - North Esporte Clube	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
09.08.25	North Esporte Clube - URT	1:0 ✺
03.08.25	URT - North Esporte Clube	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTTWT

Tombense - North Esporte Clube: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide