The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Esporte Clube 49.8%
Draw 29.1%
URT 21.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
28.9%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
27.9%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Esporte Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
URT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for URT than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
North Esporte Clube - URT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
92. Rafael Pin (G) 13. Diego Guerra 26. Leo Gobo 4. Bruno Bispo 2. Lucas Mota 5. Camacho (C) 8. Evanderson 28. Rennan Siqueira 19. Bruno Lopes 91. Clayton 17. Gabriel Rossetto
1. Ariel (G) 22. Arlen 3. Leo Santos 4. Victor Sallinas (C) 20. Wesley 33. Peloggia M. 15. Hippolito 11. Cesar 88. Pedrinho 21. Andrade F. 19. Gabriel Moyses
Substitutes
11. Felipe Marques 55. Ferreira 6. Foguinho 21. Gabriel Santiago 77. Gustavo Ermel 35. Patrick Santos 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 9. Tiago Marques 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson 30. Yuri Merlim
30. Antonio Junior 12. Arthur Gazze (G) 16. Bruninho 17. Buiu 9. Ditinho 26. Dutra G. 5. John Everson 31. Jonathan Balotelli 10. Laercio 27. Rodrigo Rocha 89. Sandro Rios 6. Vitor Gottems
Coaches
Kleberson
Roque A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Cesar ↓, Bruninho ↑,
24', 1 - 0, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽, Bruno Lopes (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Lopes ↓, Yuri Merlim ↑,
46', Hippolito ↓, Laercio ↑,
56', 🟨,
61', Evanderson ↓, Ferreira ↑,
61', Clayton ↓, Gabriel Santiago ↑,
61', Clayton 🟨,
64', Bruninho 🟨,
81', Leo Santos ↓, Antonio Junior ↑,
83', Gabriel Rossetto ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
90', Peloggia M. 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-1. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
URT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, North is the team to beat.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
Including home matches between the teams, North won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).