The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
URT 28.1%
Draw 33.4%
North Esporte Clube 38.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.3%
28.9%
34.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
28.1%
33.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
URT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that URT's form might have worsened.
North Esporte Clube has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for URT than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for URT, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Esporte Clube than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
URT - North Esporte Clube Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ariel (G) 22. Arlen 6. Vitor Gottems 4. Victor Sallinas (C) 30. Antonio Junior 5. John Everson 88. Pedrinho 11. Cesar 15. Hippolito 21. Andrade F. 19. Gabriel Moyses
92. Rafael Pin (G) 13. Diego Guerra 26. Leo Gobo 4. Bruno Bispo 2. Lucas Mota 5. Camacho (C) 8. Evanderson 28. Rennan Siqueira 91. Clayton 17. Gabriel Rossetto 19. Bruno Lopes
Substitutes
12. Arthur Gazze (G) 16. Bruninho 17. Buiu 9. Ditinho 26. Dutra G. 13. Evson 31. Jonathan Balotelli 10. Laercio 99. Marcelo Macola 33. Peloggia M. 7. Rolon L. 20. Wesley
11. Felipe Marques 55. Ferreira 6. Foguinho 21. Gabriel Santiago 77. Gustavo Ermel 35. Patrick Santos 1. Reynaldo (G) 95. Rodrigo Fumaca 34. Ulisses 98. Wandinho 23. Wellisson 30. Yuri Merlim
Coaches
Roque A.
Kleberson
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Bruno Lopes ⚽, Gabriel Rossetto (A),
25', Antonio Junior 🟨,
28', Evanderson 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hippolito ↓, Wesley ↑,
62', 1 - 1, Gabriel Moyses (Penalty Awarded),
68', Hippolito 🟨,
72', Clayton 🟨,
74', Clayton ↓, Yuri Merlim ↑,
75', 1 - 2, Gabriel Rossetto ⚽, Bruno Lopes (A),
77', Lucas Mota 🟨,
81', Bruno Lopes ↓, Ferreira ↑,
81', Evanderson ↓, Patrick Santos ↑,
84', Cesar 🟨,
85', 🟨,
85', Cesar ↓, Peloggia M. ↑,
85', Vitor Gottems ↓, Bruninho ↑,
85', John Everson ↓, Laercio ↑,
88', Gabriel Rossetto ↓, Ulisses ↑,
88', Lucas Mota ↓, Rodrigo Fumaca ↑,
90+11', Rafael Pin 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
URT may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
North will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, URT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.4:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, URT won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 0.7:0).