Match Info

BRAZIL: MINEIRO - ROUND 6

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Antonio Guimaraes de Almeida (Tombos)

Referee: Misson Junior M. F. (Bra)


	Tombense		Patrocinense

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.5	4.6
	1.7	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.74	5.04
	1.73	3.5	4.2
	1.66	3.62	4.64	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.8)	3.59 ↑ (3.3)	4.66 ↑ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tombense
54.5%

Draw
25.7%

Patrocinense
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

28%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.7%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tombense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Patrocinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patrocinense than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Tombense - Patrocinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Felipe Garcia (G) 2. Pedro Costa 3. Ednei 4. Wesley 6. Emerson 5. Mikael 8. Pierre 7. Kaio Mendes (C) 10. Rafinha 9. Bahia I. 11. Felipinho	1. Cairo (G) 2. Nando 3. Guilherme 14. Iago Mendonca 23. Bruno Oliveira 22. Hudson 16. Tiago Correa 5. Gabriel Galhardo 8. Marinho 10. Caiuby 9. Everton Kanela
Substitutes
23. Davi Schneider (G) 20. Denner 14. Djalma 13. Iury 12. Jean (G) 17. Jefferson Renan 22. Lucas Venuto 16. Manoel 19. Peterson 15. Rickson 18. Silas 21. Vitinho	19. dos Santos Alves E. L. 26. Gianluca (G) 98. Luan 11. Marcilio 21. Matheus Cassini 13. Miguel Baggio 25. Rodolfo 18. Santos da Silva M. 20. Stefano
Coaches
Cabral R.	Alves R. H.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tombense won 3.

Tombense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Patrocinense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tombense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tombense is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tombense won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Tombense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tombense FC
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.24	Atlético Mineiro - Tombense	1:1 ✺
07.02.24	Democrata GV - Tombense	2:2 ✺
03.02.24	Tombense - Athletic Club	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Pouso Alegre - Tombense	1:2 ✺
24.01.24	Tombense - Uberlândia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 TTWWT
- CA Patrocinense
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
14.02.24	Patrocinense - Ipatinga	2:1 ✺
09.02.24	Cruzeiro - Patrocinense	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Patrocinense - Villa Nova AC	0:1 ✺
29.01.24	Uberlândia - Patrocinense	1:1 ✺
24.01.24	Patrocinense - Atlético Mineiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro
08.02.23	Patrocinense - Tombense	1:2
20.02.22	Patrocinense - Tombense	2:1
21.03.21	Tombense - Patrocinense	2:2
08.02.20	Tombense - Patrocinense	2:0
20.03.19	Tombense - Patrocinense	3:0
21.01.18	Patrocinense - Tombense	2:1

Tombense - Patrocinense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide