Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 24Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday
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Tona |
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LHospitalet |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.68 |
2.82 |
2.62 |
|
 |
2.86 |
2.78 |
2.67 |
|
 |
1.00 |
13.04 |
25.00 |
 Watch |
 |
2.8 |
2.63 |
2.63 |
|
 |
2.76 |
2.77 |
2.57 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.42 ↓
(2.44) |
4.81 ↑
(3.13) |
7.1 ↑
(2.62) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Tona
54.2% | Draw
27.3% | LHospitalet
18.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tona's performance.LHospitalet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and LHospitalet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-16.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tona that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for LHospitalet than the current prediction. (+15%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that LHospitalet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Tona - LHospitalet Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Garcia R. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Roquet M. ⚽,
- 43', Molina D. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 1, Marin Lasso J. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, Garcia R. ⚽,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Roquet M. ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 6).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tona won 1.Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.LHospitalet may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tona won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.3:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, Tona won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 7 | L Hospitalet | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
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| 17 | UE Tona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5 | | | 18.10.25 | LHospitalet - Tona | 1:2 | | 09.02.25 | LHospitalet - Tona | 3:2 | | 29.09.24 | Tona - LHospitalet | 0:0 | | 07.04.24 | LHospitalet - Tona | 2:1 | | 19.11.23 | Tona - LHospitalet | 1:2 | | 15.01.23 | Tona - LHospitalet | 2:2 |
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