Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Manresa		Tona

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.4	4.15
	2.06	3.16	3.59	Watch
	2	2.9	3.6
	1.95	2.96	3.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.77)	3.11 ↓ (3.35)	3.83 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
47%

Draw
29.3%

Tona
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

26.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

25.8%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Tona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tona than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Manresa - Tona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Manresa is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Manresa will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	UE Tona	5	1	0	4	4:9	-5	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Lleida - Manresa	0:2 ✺
08.02.26	Manresa - Vilanova	1:0 ✺
01.02.26	LEscala - Manresa	0:3 ✺
25.01.26	Manresa - Vilassar de Mar	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Mollerussa - Manresa	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Tona - CE Europa B	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Grama - Tona	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Tona - Can Vidalet	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Tona - Lleida	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Vilanova - Tona	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Tona - Manresa	0:2
22.03.25	Manresa - Tona	1:1
10.11.24	Tona - Manresa	5:0
Club Friendly
20.08.23	Manresa - Tona	0:0

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