Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 32

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday


	Tona		Sabadell B

	1	X	2
	1.71	3.5	4
	1.79	3.7	3.75
	1.86	3.75	3.51
	1.81	3.91	3.59
	1.88	3.91	3.55
	1.79	3.7	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)	3.75 (3.75)	3.69 ↓ (4.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tona
50.7%

Draw
24.5%

Sabadell B
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.2%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

23.3%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tona's form might have worsened.

Sabadell B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sabadell B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tona than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell B than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sabadell B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tona - Sabadell B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Felices P. (Pen),
45', Vicente M. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', 1 - 1, Pena D. ⚽,
62', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Tona is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Tona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.04.25	San Cristóbal - Tona	0:4 ✺
13.04.25	Tona - Girona B	0:0 ✺
06.04.25	Grama - Tona	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Tona - Prat	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Manresa - Tona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WTTLT
- Sabadell B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
18.04.25	Sabadell B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:2 ✺
13.04.25	Reus FC Reddis - Sabadell B	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Montañesa - Sabadell B	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sabadell B - San Cristóbal	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Girona B - Sabadell B	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
15.12.24	Sabadell B - Tona	1:2

Tona - Sabadell B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide