The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tonbridge Angels 37.3%
Draw 26.2%
Salisbury 36.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37%
26%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tonbridge Angels have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Salisbury have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salisbury than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 3.
Tonbridge is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Salisbury is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Tonbridge has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:7 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tonbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:2 goals (averaging 1.3:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Salisbury
13
7
4
2
23:9
14
25
5
Tonbridge
14
7
3
4
26:14
12
24
Outrights of English National League South for now
Salisbury: 5.75% Tonbridge: 3.56%
Last Results with these Odds
Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.49 are the expected chance of winning is 37.29%, but this team recently wins 17% of matches with these odds.
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