Match Info

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Round 21

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadion Ramaz Shengelia (Kutaisi)

Referee: Aptsiauri A. (Geo)


	Torpedo Kutaisi		Iberia 1999

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.00	2.70
	2.32	3	2.8	Watch
	2.33	3.28	3
	2.3	3.23	2.92	Watch
	2.25	3.15	2.95
	2.49	3.34	2.72
	2.35	3.1	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.63)	3.16 ↑ (3.08)	2.83 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Kutaisi
38.9%

Draw
28.9%

Iberia 1999
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.3%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

29.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Kutaisi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Iberia 1999 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Kutaisi than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Torpedo Kutaisi - Iberia 1999 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Goshadze O. (G) 40. Shulaia A. 22. Bukia D. 4. Simic M. 33. Stamatov M. 11. Arabidze G. 7. Mamuchashvili V. 17. Lominadze N. 14. Felipe Pires 9. Andric K. 35. Deisadze D.	31. Makaridze G. (G) 22. Figueredo S. 30. Bochorishvili N. 25. Amisulashvili A. 5. Jinjolava J. (C) 6. Dadiani N. 14. Alhassan I. 27. Kutsia G. 17. Ende S. 9. Dzagania A. 10. Natchkebia Z.
Substitutes
29. Chitaishvili M. 25. Gergedava G. 13. Katkov G. 31. Kljajic F. (G) 10. Kokhreidze G. 39. Pinson V. 36. Pridonishvili L. 20. Skorup D.	35. Avdoevi S. 39. Chanturia G. 29. Chikhradze L. 34. Gobeshia T. 32. Gogilashvili D. 8. Kardava B. 40. Kobuladze G. 1. Megrelishvili T. (G) 19. Sikharulashvili N.
Coaches
Schuster D.	Demchenko A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Felipe Pires ⚽, Arabidze G. (A),
13', 2 - 0, Bukia D. ⚽, Mamuchashvili V. (A),
21', 2 - 1, Kutsia G. ⚽, Jinjolava J. (A),
39', 3 - 1, Mamuchashvili V. ⚽, Bukia D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
56', Bochorishvili N. 🟥,
58', Kutsia G. ↓, Kardava B. ↑,
59', Stamatov M. 🟨,
65', 3 - 2, Dzagania A. ⚽, Jinjolava J. (A),
67', Dadiani N. ↓, Kobuladze G. ↑,
67', Ende S. ↓, Sikharulashvili N. ↑,
71', Lominadze N. ↓, Skorup D. ↑,
76', 3 - 3, Sikharulashvili N. ⚽,
79', Skorup D. 🟨,
79', Andric K. ↓, Pinson V. ↑,
84', 4 - 3, Deisadze D. ⚽, Pinson V. (A),
87', Stamatov M. ↓, Kokhreidze G. ↑,
87', Deisadze D. 🟨,
89', Dzagania A. ↓, Gogilashvili D. ↑,
89', Figueredo S. ↓, Gobeshia T. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Iberia 1999 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Kutaisi won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:27. (average 1.5:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Kutaisi won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.6:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Iberia 1999	27	14	4	9	38:30	8	46
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	9	9	9	43:34	9	36

Last Results with these Odds

Iberia 1999 - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Kutaisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
07.08.26	Rustavi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:0 ✺
Georgian Cup
01.08.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Odishi 1919	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
16.07.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Zira	0:3 ✺
08.07.26	Zira - Torpedo Kutaisi	3:0 ✺
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWLLW
- Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa League
11.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Larne	2:1 AET ✺
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
24.07.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Iberia 1999	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Slovan Bratislava	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Super Cup
01.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:3 penalties
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
10.05.26	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:1
11.03.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Iberia 1999	1:0
21.10.25	Torpedo Kutaisi - Iberia 1999	3:1
Georgian Cup
13.08.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	2:1
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
09.08.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:0
Georgian Super Cup
01.07.25	Iberia 1999 - Torpedo Kutaisi	0:1 penalties

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