Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 11 August 2026, Tuesday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Georgia	Silk Universal
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	Iberia 1999		Larne

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.30	5.50	Watch
	1.82	3.40	4.60
	1.64	3.55	5.25	Watch
	1.86	3.25	5.05
	1.73	3.64	5.02
	1.78	3.15	5.00
	1.78	3.31	5.29	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.90
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.16)	3.36 ↑ (3.16)	5.08 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 1999
53.5%

Draw
28%

Larne
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

29.6%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

29%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 1999 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Iberia 1999's performance.

Larne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Larne might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Iberia 1999 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Larne than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Larne could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	7.5%	2.5%

Iberia 1999 - Larne Predictions

Users Predictions: Iberia 1999 will win (72 of 80 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.43% – 96.57%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Iberia 1999 will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Makaridze G. (G) 4. Selimovic V. 40. Kobuladze G. 25. Amisulashvili A. 5. Jinjolava J. (C) 6. Dadiani N. 27. Kutsia G. 8. Kardava B. 19. Sikharulashvili N. 10. Natchkebia Z. 24. Bedoshvili V.	1. Ferguson R. (G) 23. Cosgrove T. (C) 3. Ridley M. 26. Bent D. 4. Donnelly A. 15. Doherty R. 6. Gallagher C. 11. Graham S. 25. Sloan D. 45. Gibson M. 30. Lusty M.
Substitutes
14. Alhassan I. 35. Avdoevi S. 11. Bartishvili A. 30. Bochorishvili N. 39. Chanturia G. 29. Chikhradze L. 9. Dzagania A. 17. Ende S. 32. Gogilashvili D. 23. Kuliyev E. 16. Kurtanidze R. (G) 1. Megrelishvili T. (G)	16. Carney J. (G) 14. Magee B. 22. McEneff J. 7. McKendry C. 19. O'Hara K. 9. O'Neill P. 8. Randall M. 47. Simpson J. 17. Ukek J. 2. Wallace L.
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Haveron G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Graham S. 🟨,
63', Jinjolava J. 🟨,
65', Gibson M. ↓, O'Neill P. ↑,
65', Doherty R. ↓, Simpson J. ↑,
65', Kutsia G. ↓, Bartishvili A. ↑,
67', Sikharulashvili N. 🟨,
74', 1 - 0, Bedoshvili V. ⚽, Sikharulashvili N. (A),
76', 1 - 1, Simpson J. ⚽,
77', Kardava B. ↓, Alhassan I. ↑,
77', Bedoshvili V. ↓, Dzagania A. ↑,
78', Sloan D. ↓, McEneff J. ↑,
78', Lusty M. ↓, Ukek J. ↑,
84', Dzagania A. 🟨,
Extra Time (1 - 0)
91', Kobuladze G. ↓, Bochorishvili N. ↑,
96', McEneff J. 🟨,
101', Cosgrove T. ↓, Wallace L. ↑,
102', 2 - 1, Sikharulashvili N. ⚽, Dadiani N. (A),
106', Graham S. ↓, McKendry C. ↑,
107', Bent D. 🟨,
112', Dadiani N. 🟨,
115', Natchkebia Z. ↓, Kuliyev E. ↑,
115', Sikharulashvili N. ↓, Ende S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Iberia 1999 is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iberia 1999 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Georgian Cup
24.07.26	Margveti Zestafoni - Iberia 1999	1:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Slovan Bratislava	0:2 ✺
14.07.26	Iberia 1999 - Flora Tallinn	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TTWLT
- Larne FC
UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Larne	5:0 ✺
21.07.26	Larne - Crvena Zvezda Belgrade	0:4 ✺
14.07.26	Larne - Tre Fiori	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Tre Fiori - Larne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0

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