Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Silver - Fall Season - Round 1

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Red Star Stadium (Omsk)


	Irtysh Omsk		Amkar Perm

	1	X	2
	19	5.19	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	19 ↑ (6.52)	5.19 ↑ (3.8)	1.2 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Irtysh Omsk
4.9%

Draw
17.9%

Amkar Perm
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.9%

23.9%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

23.5%

63.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Irtysh Omsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Irtysh Omsk's form might have worsened.

Amkar Perm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amkar Perm's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Irtysh Omsk than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Irtysh Omsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amkar Perm than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amkar Perm, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Irtysh Omsk - Amkar Perm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Poletaev V. (G) 17. Baltrunas D. 20. Korobochkin I. 91. Loginov A. 24. Razdymakha P. 30. Razdymakha P. 25. Rusyaev S. 88. Savchenko T. 2. Shelepov V. 10. Yanushkovskiy R. 15. Zhustjev M.	13. Dolzhenko V. (G) 31. Burykin K. 4. Gallyamov E. 11. Ignatenko V. 17. Malozemov M. 23. Mikhaylov D. 88. Novikov M. 15. Saraev K. 92. Stanisavljevic A. 6. Tolkachev L. 10. Usov D.
Substitutes
5. Dzhikiya A. 1. Elistratov N. 18. Klimenko N. 6. Osin E 22. Svorov D.	9. Agureev D. 14. Chushyalov D. 20. Kudymov T. 78. Kumsarov D. 8. Matsukatov A. 7. Tyukalov E. 1. Zernaev V. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Gallyamov E. ⚽,
27', Shelepov V. 🟨,
32', 0 - 2, Usov D. ⚽,
44', Savchenko T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', Baltrunas D. ↓, Klimenko N. ↑,
63', Tolkachev L. ↓, Tyukalov E. ↑,
63', Burykin K. ↓, Agureev D. ↑,
72', 🟨,
73', Loginov A. ↓, Svorov D. ↑,
76', 0 - 3, Usov D. ⚽,
80', Usov D. ↓, Chushyalov D. ↑,
80', Mikhaylov D. ↓, Matsukatov A. ↑,
82', Malozemov M. 🟨,

Preview

Irtysh is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Amkar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Amkar is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Irtysh won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Irtysh won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Amkar ✔	10	6	1	3	23:13	10	19
6	Omsk	10	2	1	7	9:22	-13	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Irtysh Omsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
13.06.26	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Irtysh Omsk	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	Irtysh Omsk - Volgar Astrakhan	1:2 ✺
31.05.26	Kaluga - Irtysh Omsk	0:0 ✺
27.05.26	Irtysh Omsk - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Sibir Novosibirsk - Irtysh Omsk	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLTLL
- Amkar Perm
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
14.06.26	Amkar Perm - Dynamo Vladivostok	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Alania Vladikavkaz - Amkar Perm	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Amkar Perm - Kuban Krasnodar	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Tyumen - Amkar Perm	0:0 ✺
20.05.26	Amkar Perm - Zenit 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 4
13.04.23	Amkar Perm - Irtysh Omsk	1:3
01.06.22	Amkar Perm - Irtysh Omsk	2:0
23.07.21	Irtysh Omsk - Amkar Perm	1:2

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