Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Spring Season - Round 13

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Trud stadium (Miass)


	Torpedo Miass		Volga Ulyanovsk

	1	X	2
	4.37	3.74	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↓ (4.77)	3.74 ↑ (3.62)	1.66 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Miass
20.8%

Draw
24.3%

Volga Ulyanovsk
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.1%

25.1%

55.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

25.6%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Miass has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Volga Ulyanovsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Miass than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
75. Tsapurin V. (G) 4. Adeniyi S. 90. Borisenko G. 11. Golubtsov A. 22. Kuzmin D. 5. Lopatko E. (C) 84. Molteninov I. 62. Ofitserov M. 44. Osipov D. 23. Prutov D. 8. Serchenkov S.	1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 7. Bagatelia L. 9. Kamenshchikov D. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 4. Maksimenkov I. 70. Murza A. 28. Novikov D. 27. Umnikov M. 37. Voronin E.
Substitutes
70. Agakhanov A. 19. Badrtdinov I. 33. Fedosyuk V. 97. Filippov R. (G) 74. Kazimir M. 18. Palkin V. 17. Shvedov A. 7. Zamyatin D.	77. Bilalov B. 49. Dyatlov I. 17. Gershun I. 47. Kravtsov Z. 80. Novikov M. 99. Polyakh D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 86. Shaykhutdinov V. (G) 10. Uridiya G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Kamenshchikov D. ⚽,
12', Kuzmin D. 🟨,
28', Molteninov I. 🟨,
29', Adeniyi S. 🟨,
32', Maksimenkov I. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 0 - 2, Bagatelia L. ⚽,
53', Adeniyi S. 🟨,
58', Osipov D. 🟨,
59', 🟨,
59', Kuzmin D. ↓, Zamyatin D. ↑,
59', Molteninov I. ↓, Agakhanov A. ↑,
67', Borisenko G. ↓, Badrtdinov I. ↑,
67', Agakhanov A. 🟨,
67', Golubtsov A. ↓, Palkin V. ↑,
73', 0 - 3, Voronin E. ⚽,
73', Bagatelia L. ↓, Kravtsov Z. ↑,
73', Murza A. ↓, Uridiya G. ↑,
77', Prutov D. ↓, Kazimir M. ↑,
79', Kovalev K. ↓, Rakhmanov D. ↑,
80', Voronin E. ↓, Gershun I. ↑,
80', Kamenshchikov D. ↓, Bilalov B. ↑,
90+2', 0 - 4, Agakhanov A. (Own goal),
90+4', Zamyatin D. 🟨,
90+4', Khabibullin A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Fall Season: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Volga Ulyanovsk is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo Miass won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Miass
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
11.05.25	Kuban Krasnodar - Torpedo Miass	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Torpedo Miass - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
27.04.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Torpedo Miass	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Torpedo Miass - Volgar Astrakhan	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Rodina Moscow 2 - Torpedo Miass	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WTTTT
- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
11.05.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Chelyabinsk	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Spartak Kostroma - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Rodina Moscow 2	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets	3:0 ✺
19.04.25	Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
30.03.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	1:0
Russian FNL 2 Division A Silver
09.11.24	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1
14.09.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1
25.05.24	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	4:0
13.04.24	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:1
Russian FNL 2 Group 4
21.05.22	Volga Ulyanovsk - Torpedo Miass	1:1
01.08.21	Torpedo Miass - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1

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