Match Info

FNL - Round 7

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Trud Stadium (Ulyanovsk)

Referee: Cheremnykh M. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV


	Volga Ulyanovsk		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.10	5.91
	1.60	3.70	5.85
	1.59	3.98	5.27	Watch
	1.55	3.85	4.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.26)	3.91 ↑ (2.98)	5.43 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Volga Ulyanovsk
58.8%

Draw
24%

Leningradets
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

30.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

30.2%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Volga Ulyanovsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Volga Ulyanovsk's performance.

Leningradets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Leningradets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Volga Ulyanovsk than the current prediction. (-18.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Volga Ulyanovsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Leningradets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Volga Ulyanovsk will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
95. Khodanovich A. (G) 50. Bykov A. 17. Gershun I. 4. Ibragimov K. 30. Khabibullin A. (C) 11. Khashkulov A. 99. Kostin A. 7. Nikitin A. 55. Saplinov A. 10. Shagiakhmetov R. 5. Stepanov D.	96. Kuznetsov A. (G) 3. Botaka-Yoboma E. 37. Isaev K. 44. Kalugin N. (C) 78. Kiselev G. 21. Makarov A. 7. Nikitin D. 2. Nikolaev S. 9. Pershin M. 6. Rodin D. 11. Yakovlev D.
Substitutes
77. Bagatelia L. 88. Dziov M. 9. Folmer K. 60. Kasyanov I. 20. Kovalev K. 3. Krasilnichenko O. 76. Livadnov V. 28. Novikov D. 8. Rakhmanov D. 22. Rakhmanov D. 1. Shakerov R. (G) 14. Yakovlev V.	77. Bachinskiy M. 14. Kenfak O. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 32. Kulishev A. 19. Maksetsov A. 52. Petukhov I. 1. Smirnov E. (G) 23. Stefanovich I.
Coaches
Grishchenko A.	Podpaliy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Kostin A. 🟨,
34', Khabibullin A. ↓, Dziov M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Pershin M. ↓, Kulishev A. ↑,
61', Yakovlev D. ↓, Bachinskiy M. ↑,
61', Khashkulov A. ↓, Yakovlev V. ↑,
61', Gershun I. ↓, Bagatelia L. ↑,
63', 0 - 1, Nikitin D. ⚽,
64', Botaka-Yoboma E. ↓, Kudryavtsev R. ↑,
67', Isaev K. 🟨,
71', Nikitin D. ↓, Kenfak O. ↑,
73', Kostin A. ↓, Kasyanov I. ↑,
73', Bykov A. ↓, Folmer K. ↑,
90+3', Bachinskiy M. 🟨,

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 14th and 15th).

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Bookmakers give the edge to Volga Ulyanovsk for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Volga Ulyanovsk has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:1 (averaging 3:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Volga Ulyanovsk against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:0 goals.

Outrights of Russian FNL for now

Leningradets: 0.78% Ulyanovsk: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ulyanovsk	13	4	2	7	16:19	-3	14
13	Leningradets	12	3	4	5	10:20	-10	13

Last Results with these Odds

Leningradets - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Volga Ulyanovsk
Russian FNL
18.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
13.09.26	Ufa - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Volgar Astrakhan - Volga Ulyanovsk	0:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Volga Ulyanovsk - Arsenal Tula	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Volga Ulyanovsk	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTWWT
- FK Leningradets
Russian FNL
17.09.26	Nizhny Novgorod - Leningradets	6:0 ✺
13.09.26	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	2:2 ✺
Russian Cup
09.09.26	Sokol Saratov - Leningradets	1:2 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
05.09.26	Leningradets - SKA Khabarovsk	3:2 ✺
29.08.26	Leningradets - KAMAZ	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
08.06.25	Leningradets - Volga Ulyanovsk	1:3
23.04.25	Volga Ulyanovsk - Leningradets	3:0

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