Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - ROUND 12

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadion Eduarda Strelcova (Moscow)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	Torpedo Moscow		Leningradets

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.42	4.6
	1.75	3.45	4.6	Watch
	1.81	3.35	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.73)	3.41 ↓ (3.45)	4.4 ↓ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Torpedo Moscow
51.8%

Draw
27.2%

Leningradets
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

26.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

26.6%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Leningradets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leningradets than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Torpedo Moscow - Leningradets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Baburin E. (G) 2. Borodin S. 97. Curic M. 17. Gorbunov I. 22. Gromyko V. 4. Kalugin N. 10. Lebedenko I. (C) 69. Manelov I. 16. Reyna Y. 9. Stefanovich I. 23. Zhuravlev Y.	16. Karabashev N. (G) 77. Bachinski M. 6. Beljaev M. 17. Kaptilov V. 97. Khityaev A. 19. Kolesnichenko K. 5. Kostin S. (C) 9. Rozmanov N. 21. Shepelev V. 18. Sukhanov E. 33. Yakovlev A.
Substitutes
89. Cherviakov R. 35. Enin I. 21. Gongadze G. 3. Ivankov A. 15. Orekhov A. 99. Shevchenko G. 14. Usanov A. 74. Volkov M. (G) 77. Yuzepchuk R.	3. Bulygin I. 8. Gorulev V. 4. Kudryavtsev R. 22. Levin M. 11. Markin M. 41. Mikushin V. 2. Nikolaev S. 37. Sirotov V. 73. Sokolov D. 91. Zaytsev A. (G) 90. Zhironkin V.
Coaches
Clotet P.	Kiryakov S.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Torpedo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Leningradets is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Torpedo is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Torpedo Moscow
Russian Cup
26.09.23	Ufa - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 penalties ✺
Russian FNL
22.09.23	KAMAZ - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Torpedo Moscow - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	1:0 ✺
11.09.23	Torpedo Moscow - Akron Tolyatti	1:0 ✺
04.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWWL
- FK Leningradets
Russian Cup
27.09.23	KAMAZ - Leningradets	1:0 ✺
Russian FNL
23.09.23	Khimki - Leningradets	2:1 ✺
17.09.23	Leningradets - Volgar Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
10.09.23	Leningradets - Dynamo Makhachkala	1:2 ✺
03.09.23	KAMAZ - Leningradets	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLT

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