Match Info

FNL - Round 7

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Sapsan Arena (Moscow)

Referee: Kashirin D. (Rus)


	Rodina Moscow		Torpedo Moscow

	1	X	2
	3.01	2.8	2.82
	2.93	2.86	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↑ (2.22)	2.83 ↓ (3.06)	2.75 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
31.9%

Draw
33.5%

Torpedo Moscow
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

30.8%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rodina Moscow's form might have worsened.

Torpedo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpedo Moscow's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rodina Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torpedo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Torpedo (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Volkov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 6. Fishchenko R. 3. Goglichidze L. 7. Gueye P. 77. Koryan A. 55. Krizan M. 9. Maksimenko A. 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 10. Reyna Y. 99. Timoshenko I.	12. Baburin E. (G) 19. Baytukov R. (C) 4. Borodin S. 38. Chupayov A. 97. Curic M. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 8. Galoyan A. 27. Orekhov A. 99. Shevchenko G. 7. Yushin A.
Substitutes
18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 22. Beskibalniy A. 49. Dyatlov I. 5. Egorychev A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 20. Kontsevoy A. 38. Musaev L. 88. Sokol A. 71. Svinov I. (G) 23. Ushatov K.	9. Bakic D. 14. Burkhin E. 89. Chervyakov R. 84. Churilov V. 3. Ivankov A. 87. Kostin A. 5. Moskvichev V. 11. Shamkin D. 25. Soldatenko R. (G) 55. Stepanov D. 74. Volkov M. (G)
Coaches
Kirakosyan B.	Kirilchik P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Goglichidze L. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Maksimenko A. ⚽,
33', Timoshenko I. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Baytukov R. ↓, Stepanov D. ↑,
46', Galoyan A. ↓, Ivankov A. ↑,
57', Gueye P. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
64', Yushin A. ↓, Bakic D. ↑,
65', Curic M. ↓, Moskvichev V. ↑,
65', Koryan A. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
65', Meshchaninov A. ↓, Tananeev D. ↑,
72', 2 - 0, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,
80', Timoshenko I. ↓, Kontsevoy A. ↑,
80', Maksimenko A. ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
87', Chupayov A. ↓, Chervyakov R. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Abdusalamov M. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Rodina is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Rodina won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Rodina won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian FNL
23.08.25	Shinnik - Rodina Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Ufa - Rodina Moscow	0:0 ✺
09.08.25	Rodina Moscow - Arsenal Tula	1:1 ✺
02.08.25	Ural - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
27.07.25	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTTLL
- Torpedo Moscow
Russian FNL
25.08.25	Rotor - Torpedo Moscow	3:0 ✺
18.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Ural	1:0 ✺
11.08.25	Torpedo Moscow - Spartak Kostroma	0:1 ✺
03.08.25	SKA Khabarovsk - Torpedo Moscow	1:0 ✺
27.07.25	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Torpedo Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
22.03.25	Torpedo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	0:0
27.10.24	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	1:1
20.11.23	Torpedo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	1:1
04.09.23	Rodina Moscow - Torpedo Moscow	2:0

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