The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tonbridge Angels 35.4%
Draw 25.6%
Torquay United 39.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.2%
25.1%
48.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.1%
25%
48.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tonbridge Angels's performance.
Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Torquay United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tonbridge Angels that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Torquay United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tonbridge Angels - Torquay United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Worthington M. ⚽,
Preview
Replayed if draw.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 1.
In recent outings, Tonbridge has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Torquay shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Torquay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Torquay holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Tonbridge has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:10 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tonbridge against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 8:7 goals (averaging 1.6:1.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Tonbridge Angels - the odds 3.48 are the expected chance of winning is 26.23%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.